Fundamental Analysis

Johnson Adresses Parliament WIth New Brexit Plan

Johnson Urges Unity Over New Brexit PlanFollowing his submission to EU leaders this week, UK PM Boris Johnson addressed parliament yesterday to lay out his amended Brexit plan. The PM urged...

There are Bank Reserves, but not for all

The jump in short-term funding costs in the US last month and subsequent liquidity injections from the Fed through emergency repos fueled debates about a new round of QE. Asset purchases will increase...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 7

Oil Falls On Easing Middle-East Tensions & Global Growth FearsThe CFTC COT update for the week ending September 24th showed net long positions in WTI crude futures were lower by -2,943 contracts,...

ADP Jobs Number Raises NFP Risk

Private Sector Growth SlowsLooking ahead to tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payrolls release, there is plenty of scope for volatility. The ADP employment number released on Wednesday showed that over September,...

Softer Outlook For NZD Economy

The release of the NZIER’s Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion suggests an increased likelihood that we could see negative rates in New Zealand at some point in the future. Currently, the RBNZ...

UK PM To Submit Fresh Brexit Deal To EU

New Brexit Proposals On The TableAs the October 31st Brexit deadline draws closer, there is still a great deal of uncertainty about how the UK will leave the EU or if it will at all. Under new...

RBA Cuts Rates To New Record Lows

RBA Cuts Rates FurtherThe Reserve Bank of Australia lowered its headline interest rate by a further 25 basis points overnight. The official cash rate in Australia now stands at a record low of...

The IndeX Files 01-10-2019

Equities Upside On HoldGlobal benchmark indices have commenced the week in rather a subdued fashion with most headline indices having retraced from recent highs.In the US, the equities landscape is...

The Old Good “Ratchet Effect” in US Government Spending

Some of you might notice that there was a major rebound on the US economic front in late Q3, which is best reflected in the index of economic surprises calculated by Citi:As a practical matter, this...