EURCAD Breaking Out

The EURCAD long idea issued last week has triggered on the break above the 1.3198 level, with the market now looking to be carving out a stronger basing formation. The test of the initial target at 1.3384 will be key for the pair with bulls needing to see a break above this level to confirm a proper shift in sentiment. Looking at the latest data, the retail market has just flipped net-short which means the move is still tentative though there is plenty of room for a fuller breakout to develop as retailers pile on shorts. The outlook remains bullish above the 1.3198 breakout level with 1.3766 the broader target on a break of 1.3384.

Keep an Eye On

Canadian CPI today will be closely watched. Given that the BOC has been the most hawkish of the G10 central banks so far it is now in an interesting place. While the bank has cited the need to continue pushing ahead with tightening while inflation remains elevated, it is much closer to neutral than other central banks meaning, if inflation softens in the near-term it has room to step on the brakes. So, should today’s reading undershoot forecasts, this will no doubt help the pair move higher towards target.